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Fort Griffin

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f Fas 11914/09C7C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 09/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark09/10/2025 · OR 65 par9/10C7OR 65C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 75 · 6f 119 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 75 par23/10C7OR 75C6 @ Turfway Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 80 par27/12C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-27Turfway Park?8th8th0
2025-10-23Belmont At The Big A?2nd3rd−1
2025-10-09Belmont At The Big A?6th7th−1
2025-09-14Belmont At The Big A?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/099/1023/1027/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20253rd9/153%50%-0.03
09/10/20256th7/163%17%-0.46
23/10/20252nd14/126%89%+0.63
27/12/20258th8/158%30%-0.28