3

Lasting Legacy

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 75

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f110y 11828/04C9C9 @ Churchill Downs 24/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m110y Slo 118 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 81 par24/05C9OR 81C9 @ Laurel Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 69 par13/09C9OR 69projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Laurel Park?4th7th−3
2026-05-24Churchill Downs?8th11th−3
2026-04-28Churchill Downs?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0424/0513/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%

Delivery trend -18.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20263rd8/158%80%+0.22
24/05/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
13/09/20264th11/271%57%-0.14