12

Cleopatra Dream

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 46

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#14

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field all 4 starts, latest after 8 months off on handicap bow at Navan recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 12828/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f Std 12112/12C8C8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1299/01C8BHA48 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 48 · 5f Gd 130 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 48 par5/0948OR 48projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA4812th12th0
2026-01-09Dundalk?12th12th0
2025-12-12Dundalk?5th5th0
2025-11-28Dundalk?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1112/129/015/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/202510th33/10%25%+0.25
12/12/20255th80/10%64%+0.64
09/01/202612th150/10%15%+0.15
05/09/202612th50/10%35%+0.35