2
Happy Henry
5yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 60
Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Handicap (0-60) · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Bellewstown | BHA67 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA66 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA67 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA67 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | BHA58 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | BHA58 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.15 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 76% | +0.29 |
| 16/08/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 30/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |