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13

Hasiyna

6yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 45

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Download Our App' Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Multiple course winner who posted a solid effort when second of 14 back from a short break in February but has struggled for form since, including back from 5 months off at Naas recently. Should at least strip fitter for that here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA44 @ Dundalk 31/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 44 · 5f Std 126 · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 44 par31/1044OR 44BHA44 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 44 · 6f Std 127 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 44 parBHA44 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 44 · 5f Std 126 · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 44 par28/1144OR 44BHA48 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 48 · 5f Std 130 · beat its mark17/12/2025 · OR 48 parBHA53 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 53 · 6f Std 139 · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 53 par11/0253OR 53BHA53 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 53 · 5f Std 123 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 53 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 54 · 6f Std 124 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 54 par6/0354OR 54BHA54 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 54 · 5f Std 124 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 54 parBHA50 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 50 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 50 par23/0850OR 50projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23NaasBHA509th9th0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA547th7th0
2026-03-06DundalkBHA549th9th0
2026-02-13DundalkBHA536th6th0
2026-02-11DundalkBHA532nd2nd0
2025-12-17DundalkBHA481st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1017/126/0323/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20253rd16/116%85%+0.69
21/11/20257th13/266%54%-0.12
28/11/20252nd3/184%88%+0.03
17/12/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
11/02/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
13/02/20266th5/174%50%-0.24
06/03/20269th16/116%20%+0.04
20/03/20267th12/137%33%-0.04
23/08/20269th33/10%56%+0.56