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6

Ipanema Queen

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 92

Dundalk · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3 times (including over C&D) for Adrian Murray in 2025, including listed race. Highly tried by current yard before getting up late returned to handicap company in 11-runner event at Cork in July. Found out at Group 1 level since but should fare better here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Ayr 19/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 95 · 5f Sft 129 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 95 par19/091OR 951 @ Dundalk 10/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 95 · 5f Std 129 · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 95 parBHA99 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 99 · 6f Std 131 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 99 par13/0399OR 991 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 97 · 5f110y Sft 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 97 parBHA95 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 95 · 5f Goo 138 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 95 par3/0695OR 952 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 27 · OR 94 · 5f GF 125 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 94 par1 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 93 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 93 par18/071OR 93BHA92 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 92 · 5f GF 128 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 92 par1 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 17 · OR 92 · 5f Yie 128 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 92 par13/091OR 92projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Curragh117th17th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA921st1st0
2026-07-18Curragh18th8th0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot26th6th0
2026-06-03CurraghBHA954th4th0
2026-05-03Cork17th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/093/0518/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20259th2/189%27%-0.62
10/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
13/03/20262nd4/797%75%-0.22
03/05/20267th5/493%14%-0.79
03/06/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
19/06/20266th22/10%81%+0.81
18/07/20268th22/10%22%+0.22
24/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
13/09/202617th125/10%0%0.00