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8

Rosie Frith

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 92

Dundalk · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Forward-going type who posted a career best when scoring at the Curragh in August. Below form next time but showed enough to suggest she's back in good heart when sixth of 20 there (5f, good to soft) 6 days ago. Every chance if able to build on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA80 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 80 · 5f Std 138 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 80 par24/1080OR 801 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 94 · 5f110y Sft 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 92 · 5f Gd 138 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 92 par5/062OR 92BHA89 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 89 · 5f3y Gd 137 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 89 parBHA93 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 93 · 5f Std 128 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 93 par12/0793OR 93BHA93 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 93 · 5f GF 129 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 93 parBHA92 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 92 · 5f GF 131 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 92 par9/0892OR 92BHA93 @ Curragh 13/09/2026 · Pos 20th of 24 · OR 93 · 6f Yie 126 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 93 parBHA93 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 93 · 5f Yie 133 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 93 par26/0993OR 93projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26CurraghBHA936th6th0
2026-09-13CurraghBHA9320th20th0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA921st1st0
2026-07-24CorkBHA934th4th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA934th4th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA891st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/102/079/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
03/05/20268th22/10%0%0.00
05/06/202612th25/10%27%+0.27
02/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
12/07/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
24/07/20264th6/168%70%+0.02
09/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
13/09/202620th50/10%17%+0.17
26/09/20266th22/10%74%+0.74