Sir Les Patterson
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 101
Dundalk · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | BHA87 | 24th | 24th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | BHA105 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA92 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | BHA93 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA94 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/04/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 23% | -0.37 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 23/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 18/07/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 13/09/2026 | 24th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |