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9

Xerling

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 87

Dundalk · BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Race · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed the odds in Cork maiden in June and showed improved form when only narrowly denied in minor event at Naas next time. Has failed to get competitive upped to listed level the last twice but could get back on track. This just her second all-weather start.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 09/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 6f20y Gd 1289/07C8C8 @ Naas 24/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Gd 1281 @ Dundalk 10/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f Std 12610/101C8 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 78 · 5f Yie 129 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 78 · 5f Gd 129 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 78 par14/06C8OR 78BHA78 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 78 · 5f Goo 126 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 78 par1 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 92 · 5f205y Goo 128 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 92 par22/071OR 921 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f Yie 126 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 90 par30/081OR 90projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Cork17th7th0
2026-07-22Naas113th13th0
2026-07-04NaasBHA782nd2nd0
2026-06-14Cork?1st1st0
2026-05-16Navan?2nd2nd0
2025-10-10Dundalk111th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0716/0522/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/202512th33/10%21%+0.21
24/08/20254th25/10%73%+0.73
10/10/202511th66/10%9%+0.09
16/05/20262nd7/282%92%+0.10
14/06/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
04/07/20262nd9/153%75%+0.22
22/07/202613th12/137%14%-0.23
30/08/20267th17/255%14%-0.41