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7

Brazilian Diva

2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 90

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a maiden at Naas in June before good second at same track but has found it tougher in listed/Group company last 2 starts and may again prove vulnerable now returning to all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f Std 12327/03C81 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/051C8 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 6f Goo 12212/06C8C8 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f Gd 12824/06C81 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 80 · 5f Goo 126 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 80 par4/071OR 801 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 91 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 91 par29/071OR 911 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 91 · 5f Goo 126 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 91 par16/081OR 91projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh16th6th0
2026-07-29Goodwood16th6th+0
2026-07-04Naas12nd2nd0
2026-06-24Naas?1st10th−7
2026-06-12Fairyhouse?5th14th−7
2026-05-24Curragh17th7th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0324/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18
24/05/20267th300/10%0%0.00
12/06/20265th100/10%75%+0.75
24/06/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
04/07/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47
29/07/20266th28/10%50%+0.50
16/08/20266th10/147%44%-0.03