2
Hanney Boy
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 90
Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲5
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | BHA94 | 2nd | 12th | −9 |
| 2026-08-22 | York | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | ? | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |