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10

Magical Moonlight

2yo Filly · 9-0

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) · 5f

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sixth of 8 on debut in May before impressively winning her maiden at Down Royal in June, making the running and keeping on well. Steps up to listed class now and makes her all-weather bow after 105 days off so could figure if fit and firing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f25y Gd 12128/05C?C8 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f Sft 12819/06C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Down Royal?1st10th−7
2026-05-28Fairyhouse?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0519/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
19/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24