Matriarchal

2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 84

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▲5

Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C5.8

Today: 1

Class gap: -5.0

Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-04	Naas	1	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-05-30	Lingfield	4	5th	9th	−3	1.2
2026-05-16	Navan	?	1st	10th	−7	1.0
2026-05-03	Cork	?	3rd	12th	−7	1.0
2026-04-10	Dundalk	?	4th	13th	−7	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength8%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/04/2026	4th	18/1	5%	40%	+0.35
03/05/2026	3rd	9/2	76%	78%	+0.01
16/05/2026	1st	14/1	26%	100%	+0.74
30/05/2026	5th	7/2	82%	43%	-0.39
04/07/2026	7th	22/1	0%	33%	+0.33