13
Southern Boulevard
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 80
Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | ? | 5th | 14th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 93% | +0.01 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |