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3

Star Prospect

2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 93

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed) · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Impressive winner of Curragh maiden (heavy) in April but not much progress since, running about as well as could be expected when fourth of 10 in listed company last time. Should again prove vulnerable for win purposes making all-weather debut in this company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Sft 13119/04C?C0 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f Gd 13417/05C?1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR - · 5f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS20/061C0 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f GF 13824/07C?C5 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 90 · 5f205y Goo 134 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 90 par3/08C5OR 901 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 89 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 89 par16/081OR 89projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh14th4th0
2026-08-03Naas?7th11th−4
2026-07-24Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot113th13th+0
2026-05-17Naas?3rd3rd0
2026-04-19Curragh?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0417/0520/0624/073/0816/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
17/05/20263rd4/696%50%-0.46
20/06/202613th14/126%40%+0.14
24/07/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
03/08/20267th9/153%40%-0.13
16/08/20264th22/10%67%+0.67