8

Little Diva
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 55
Dundalk · Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | BHA56 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA59 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -11.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/07/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/09/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.19 |