9
Littlepacer
2yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 53
Dundalk · Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA53 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +20.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/06/2026 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |