7

Mutamarid Lsk

2yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 56

Dundalk · Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has offered little in 3 starts and now switches to nurseries after a small break. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 12.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1318/07C8C8 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 13322/07C8C8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 18th of 19 · OR - · 6f Goo 1339/08C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Curragh?18th18th0
2026-07-22Naas?12th12th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0722/079/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20268th40/10%0%0.00
22/07/202612th150/10%35%+0.35
09/08/202618th300/10%6%+0.06