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6

Snapequus

2yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 61

Dundalk · Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 3 maidens whilst shaping as if one for handicaps. He's bred to be useful and yard won nursery with a similar type at the weekend so he's one to be interested in.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 12812/08C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 1311/09C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1319/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?7th7th0
2026-09-01Gowran Park?11th11th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/081/099/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength94%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/202611th18/15%33%+0.28
01/09/202611th25/10%29%+0.29
09/09/20267th80/10%14%+0.14