2

Someday Somewhere

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 67

Dundalk · Michael And Esther Cooney Memorial Nursery Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

46%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame on her first 3 starts in maidens but hasn't progressed since sent handicapping. Switches to all-weather and has been given further help from the handicapper.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Goo 12716/07C8C8 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f Yie 1222/08C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 12818/08C8BHA73 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 73 · 5f180y Goo 132 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 73 par27/0873OR 73BHA69 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 69 · 7f27y Goo 138 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 69 par4/0969OR 69projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA697th7th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA735th5th0
2026-08-18Roscommon?4th4th0
2026-08-02Galway?4th4th0
2026-07-16Leopardstown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/072/0818/0827/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -15.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20263rd9/153%80%+0.27
02/08/20264th7/282%67%-0.15
18/08/20264th85/4089%73%-0.16
27/08/20265th13/266%43%-0.23
04/09/20267th7/282%33%-0.48