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Aachen

2yo Colt · 9-5

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed) · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped very well when third of 13 in a maiden at this track over 1m on debut in mid-August, finishing well. Takes a significant step up to listed class and drops in trip but is open to improvement for top connections.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 11.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 13315/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Dundalk?3rd12th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20263rd12/137%83%+0.46