2
Duidin
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 87
Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed) · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |