3
Equus Victor
2yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 90
Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 13th | −7 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 14th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +62.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |