6

Salt Lake

2yo Colt · 9-5

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed) · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Second on debut at the Curragh over this trip, beaten a short-head by a subsequent winner, then got off the mark in a maiden at Naas 15 days ago over 6f. Steps up to listed company and makes all-weather debut back at 7f with progress likely so could be a big threat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 13322/08C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 13117/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?1st10th−7
2026-08-22Curragh?2nd11th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -65.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20262nd14/126%93%+0.67
17/09/20261st4/1198%100%+0.02