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8

Zoar

2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 89

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed) · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won maiden at Naas in August but no progress when third of 5 in a conditions race at Cork over 6f 23 days ago. Now upped in grade for all-weather debut so needs to progress for this longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 13322/07C8C8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 13323/08C8C0 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 1389/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-08-23Naas?1st10th−7
2026-07-22Naas?2nd11th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0723/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -60.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20262nd16/116%94%+0.78
23/08/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
09/09/20263rd11/893%50%-0.43