3

Carry The Dream

3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 63

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Some promise on second outing and, with tongue strap added, took a step forward when fifth of 18 in maiden at Cork (1m) 23 days ago. Remains with potential but might be more one for handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m Std 13412/07C8C8 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 6f Yie 13430/08C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 1m Goo 1349/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?5th5th0
2026-08-30Cork?9th9th0
2026-07-12Dundalk?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0730/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +35.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
30/08/20269th28/10%47%+0.47
09/09/20265th100/10%76%+0.76