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10

Emiza

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 70

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved from debut when runner-up in maiden over this C&D in August, travelling best. Wasn't able to last home back up to 1m when fourth of 13 at Navan 30 days ago, but she looks to hold strong claims returned to 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 1m Goo 1293/08C8C8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 12915/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?4th4th0
2026-08-15Dundalk?2nd2nd0
2026-08-03Naas?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0815/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20265th7/282%75%-0.07
15/08/20262nd10/382%92%+0.10
02/09/20264th13/266%75%+0.09