1

Gonirianbotharleat

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden · 7f

#16

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★ Timeform

Commentary

Has offered little in a trio of maidens, last of 10 over this C&D on latest outing in February. Looks to be up against it after 7 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 19/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 13519/12C8C8 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m Std 13511/02C8C8 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f Std 13520/02C8projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-20Dundalk?10th10th0
2026-02-11Dundalk?8th8th0
2025-12-19Dundalk?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1211/0220/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -16.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20259th66/10%33%+0.33
11/02/20268th125/10%13%+0.13
20/02/202610th300/10%0%0.00