12

Mooncoin

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to justify support on debut when down the field in maiden here (1m) in March. After 7 months off, possibly needed the run on first outing since leaving Mark Fahey when well held at Fairyhouse (7f) 11 days ago. Others still preferred.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1296/03C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 12921/09C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Fairyhouse?10th10th0
2026-03-06Dundalk?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0321/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +96.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20269th7/491%38%-0.52
21/09/202610th300/10%44%+0.44