13

Near Perfection

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

After 4 months off, failed to improve from debut when well held in maiden at Navan (1¼m) 30 days ago, backing out of things quickly. Attracted support last time, though, and she's bred to be smart.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f190y Yie 12925/04C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?17th17th0
2026-04-25Limerick?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/042/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength0%

Delivery trend +15.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
02/09/202617th11/142%20%-0.22