14

Purely

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 63

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame in maiden at Fairyhouse (1¼m) in May, but wasn't able to improve sent handicapping when ninth of 14 in at Galway (8.5f) 24 days ago. Represents leading yard, though has something to find back in maiden company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 12/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12812/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 12829/10C8C8 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m Goo 12912/04C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m1f210y Gd 129 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 69 par28/05C8OR 69BHA65 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m98y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 65 par8/0965OR 65projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA659th7th+2
2026-05-28Fairyhouse?4th4th0
2026-04-12Leopardstown?10th10th0
2025-10-29Dundalk?7th7th0
2025-10-12Naas?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1029/1012/0428/058/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/20257th7/282%57%-0.24
29/10/20257th11/893%54%-0.39
12/04/202610th16/116%36%+0.20
28/05/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
08/09/20269th22/10%38%+0.38