15

Tribal Belle

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden · 7f

#14

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Never dangerous on debut and fared no better when sixth of 11 in maiden at the Curragh (6f) 5 days ago. Tongue strap added but likely to need more time. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f Yie 1291/09C8C8 @ Curragh 27/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Hvy 12927/09C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Curragh?6th6th0
2026-09-01Gowran Park?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0927/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +19.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/202610th25/10%31%+0.31
27/09/20266th66/10%50%+0.50