4
All The Girls
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 81
Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA70 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | BHA76 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA75 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | BHA79 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | BHA78 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | BHA79 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 81% | +0.23 |