2
Alesian Beau
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 58
Fairview · Betway Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
66%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 05/12/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 27% | -0.49 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |