7

American Gem

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 49

Fairview · Betway Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 10 Flat runs. Third of 11 in maiden (16/1) at this course (5f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12922/10C8C8 @ Greyville 26/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y 132C8 @ Scottsville 11/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13211/01C8C8 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Std 1328/06C8C8 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 127C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 12731/07C8C8 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 6f102y Std 127C8 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 4f214y GS 13211/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-08-26Fairview?5th5th0
2026-07-31Fairview?7th7th0
2026-07-03Fairview?8th8th0
2026-06-08Fairview?7th7th0
2026-05-22Fairview?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1022/0531/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20254th9/276%63%-0.14
26/12/20253rd2/189%67%-0.23
11/01/202614th20/10%7%+0.07
22/05/20267th15/261%40%-0.21
08/06/20267th8/158%33%-0.25
03/07/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
31/07/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
26/08/20265th18/15%0%-0.05
11/09/20263rd12/137%80%+0.43