1
Here Comes Johnny
4yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 51
Fairview · Betway Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 85% | -0.05 |
| 29/05/2026 | 11th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |