6

High Rider

3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 47

Fairview · Betway Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

125/1, fifth of 7 in minor event at Fairview (6f) 77 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13213/02C8C8 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13227/02C8C8 @ Fairview 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f103y Sft 13220/03C8C8 @ Fairview 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13219/06C8C8 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13217/07C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Fairview?5th5th0
2026-06-19Fairview?5th5th0
2026-03-20Fairview?8th8th0
2026-02-27Fairview?8th8th0
2026-02-13Fairview?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0227/0220/0319/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%

Delivery trend +7.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20265th33/10%0%0.00
27/02/20268th66/10%13%+0.13
20/03/20268th50/10%0%0.00
19/06/20265th150/10%20%+0.20
17/07/20265th66/10%33%+0.33