5

Palme D'or

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 61

Fairview · Betway Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Second of 9 in maiden (50/1) at Fairview (6f) 7 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13411/05C8C8 @ Fairview 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13219/06C8C8 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13225/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-06-19Fairview?8th8th0
2026-05-11Fairview?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0519/0625/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +38.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
19/06/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
25/09/20262nd28/10%88%+0.88