3
Pretty Boy
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 38
Fairview · Betway Work Riders Maiden Plate · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 06/12/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/01/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |
| 25/09/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |