1
Burning Desire
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 57
Fairview · Betway Open Maiden (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
58%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Durbanville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 24/12/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 58% | -0.27 |
| 17/01/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 8% | -0.55 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |