8

Camden Square

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 62

Fairview · Betway Open Maiden (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. 18/10, second of 8 in maiden at this course (7f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Form choice.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 30/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13230/01C8C8 @ Fairview 06/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y 1326/03C8C8 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13210/04C8C8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13211/05C8C8 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f102y Std 13224/06C8C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13231/07C8C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 11928/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-07-31Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-06-24Fairview?5th5th0
2026-05-11Fairview?6th6th0
2026-04-10Fairview?6th6th0
2026-03-06Fairview?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0111/0528/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
06/03/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
10/04/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
11/05/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
24/06/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
31/07/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
28/08/20262nd15/890%86%-0.04