2

Lady Of Fate

5yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 55

Fairview · Betway Open Maiden (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 21 Flat runs. 25/1, third of 7 in maiden at Fairview (1m) 28 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 11/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 11711/02C8C8 @ Kenilworth 25/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 118C8 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13222/05C8C8 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 132C5 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS1/07C5C8 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 127C8 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 1187/08C8C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 120C8 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1324/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-08-28Fairview?8th8th0
2026-08-07Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-07-17Fairview?6th6th0
2026-07-01Fairview?6th2nd+4
2026-06-12Fairview?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0212/067/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
25/02/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
22/05/20265th15/261%60%-0.01
12/06/20266th8/158%38%-0.20
01/07/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
17/07/20266th22/10%44%+0.44
07/08/20263rd22/10%71%+0.71
28/08/20268th4/179%0%-0.79
04/09/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67