7

Total Eruption

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 52

Fairview · Betway Open Maiden (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 50/1, third of 11 in maiden at this course (7f, good to soft) 21 days ago. Significantly back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 03/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1263/02C8C8 @ Fairview 10/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 120C8 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13210/04C8C8 @ Fairview 17/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Sft 121C8 @ Fairview 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1325/06C8C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 121C8 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Sft 1277/08C8C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 127C8 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12611/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-08-28Fairview?7th7th0
2026-08-07Fairview?6th6th0
2026-07-31Fairview?10th10th0
2026-06-05Fairview?5th5th0
2026-04-17Fairview?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0217/047/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%

Delivery trend +12.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20267th5/287%14%-0.73
10/03/202610th17/255%18%-0.37
10/04/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
17/04/20269th6/168%0%-0.68
05/06/20265th18/15%60%+0.55
31/07/202610th100/10%0%0.00
07/08/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
28/08/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
11/09/20263rd40/10%80%+0.80