5

Witching Hour

4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 39

Fairview · Betway Open Maiden (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 17 Flat runs. 25/2, sixth of 8 in maiden at Fairview (1¼m) 14 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 19/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13019/12C8C8 @ Fairview 29/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 120C8 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 1286/02C8C8 @ Fairview 20/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 123C8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13229/05C8C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 119C8 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12828/08C8C8 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 12518/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Fairview?6th6th0
2026-09-04Fairview?6th6th0
2026-08-28Fairview?4th4th0
2026-07-31Fairview?4th4th0
2026-05-29Fairview?5th5th0
2026-02-20Fairview?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1220/0228/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength33%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20255th7/282%56%-0.26
29/12/20257th3/184%14%-0.70
06/02/20266th7/163%44%-0.19
20/02/202611th11/142%0%-0.42
29/05/20265th5/287%33%-0.54
31/07/20264th28/10%67%+0.67
28/08/20264th5/174%57%-0.17
04/09/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
18/09/20266th10/147%29%-0.19