IvyArcIvyArc
6

Hot Blooded

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 71

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

20/1, first run since leaving M/M De Kock when second of 11 in maiden at this course (7f, good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 08/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1268/07C8C8 @ Scottsville 22/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13222/07C8C8 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12611/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Scottsville?9th9th0
2026-07-08Scottsville?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0722/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +46.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/202611th5/174%23%-0.51
22/07/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
11/09/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43