9

Kailua Breeze

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 27

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

20/1 and tongue strap on cheekpieces on, fifth of 7 in maiden at Fairview (7f) 49 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13214/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Fairview?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20265th14/126%33%+0.07