2
Monkey's Wedding
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 63
Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 210y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |