8
Run Johnny Run
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 60
Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |