3
Scented Path
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 54
Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |