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10

Takeachanceonme

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 55

Fairview · Betway Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

18/10 and tongue strap on for 1st time, third of 11 in maiden at Vaal (7f, good) 44 days ago. First run for yard after leaving M. N. Houdalakis. Not taken lightly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 07/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f169y GS 1327/03C8C8 @ Turffontein 19/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13219/03C8C8 @ Turffontein 09/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1329/04C8C8 @ Vaal 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13228/05C8C8 @ Turffontein 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 1329/07C8C8 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 13219/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Vaal?3rd3rd0
2026-07-09Turffontein?5th5th0
2026-05-28Vaal?5th5th0
2026-04-09Turffontein?4th4th0
2026-03-19Turffontein?5th5th0
2026-03-07Turffontein?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0319/039/0428/059/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
19/03/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
09/04/20264th4/179%25%-0.54
28/05/20265th50/10%69%+0.69
09/07/20265th7/282%64%-0.18
19/08/20263rd7/491%80%-0.11